基于贝叶斯近似的冲突证据组合

Xu Aiqiang, Menglei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了解决利用Dempster-Shafer理论对冲突证据进行组合时出现的问题,提出了一种基于Dubois和Prade规则的组合规则。提出了一种将新规则与贝叶斯近似相结合的方法来组合来自不同机构的证据。首先讨论了在开放世界和封闭世界假设下识别框架的命题变换。其次,基于Dempster-Shafer理论和贝叶斯定理,分析了冲突的影响。最后提出了基于不同证据体集合基数的修正规则,并通过数值算例进行了验证。实例表明,新的组合规则保留了更多的组合证据信息,贝叶斯近似减少了聚焦元素的数量,两者的结合是一种有效而准确的证据组合方法。
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Combination of Conflict Evidence Based on Bayesian Approximation
In order to solve the problems emerged in the situation trying to combine conflict evidences using Dempster-Shafer theory, a new combination rule based on Dubois and Prade rule was raised. A method of using the new rule together with Bayesian Approximation was proposed to combine evidences from different bodies. Firstly the proposition transformation of discernment frame was discussed both in the open and closed world assumption. Secondly the effect of conflict was shown based on the Dempster-Shafer theory and Bayesian theorem. And finally the modified rule depending on the cardinal of set from different evidence bodies was proposed and was showed in the numerical example. Conclusion can be drawn from the example that the new combination rule reserves more information from the combined evidences and Bayesian Approximation reduces the number of focused elements, and using both of them is an effective and accurate method in evidence combination.
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