美国西部的家庭、森林和火灾危险脆弱性:加利福尼亚社区的案例研究

Timothy W. Collins
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引用次数: 96

摘要

由于生物物理风险的放大、人口的快速增长和现有政治机制的不足,荒地-城市界面(WUI)火灾危险在整个美国西部变得越来越严重。采用案例研究的方法,我测试了四个社会决定因素的适用性家庭层面WUI火灾危险脆弱性在森林牧场,加利福尼亚州的社区。先前的研究已经独立地确定了(1)风险认知,(2)舒适价值冲突,以及(3)制度激励结构是家庭火灾危险脆弱性的决定因素。我引入(4)政治经济约束作为决定因素。研究结果证实了三个社会决定因素在家庭风险管理决策中的作用:虽然决定因素(1)与家庭脆弱性没有显著相关性,但决定因素(2)-(4)具有显著相关性。此外,研究结果表明,政治经济学理论提供了适用于水浸风险脆弱性研究的概念。这些结论对目前的管理干预提出了质疑。美国西部WUI地区的富裕和欠发达并存,对居民的一维表现、对危害脆弱性的社会决定因素的相互排斥的解释,以及因此而产生的狭隘或普遍的管理处方(例如,仅针对居民进行生物物理风险教育的干预措施)提出了质疑。
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Households, forests, and fire hazard vulnerability in the American West: A case study of a California community

Due to amplified biophysical risks, rapid population growth, and inadequacies of existing political mechanisms, wildland–urban interface (WUI) fire hazards have become increasingly acute throughout the American West. Using a case study approach, I test the applicability of four social determinants of household level WUI fire hazard vulnerability in the community of Forest Ranch, California. Previous studies have independently identified (1) risk perceptions, (2) amenity value conflicts, and (3) institutional incentive structures as determinants of household fire hazard vulnerability. I introduce (4) political economic constraints as determinants. Findings confirm the role of three social determinants in household risk management decision-making: while determinant (1) is not a significant correlate of household vulnerability, determinants (2)–(4) are significant correlates. Also, findings demonstrate that political economic theory offers concepts applicable to studies of WUI hazard vulnerability. These conclusions call into question current management interventions. The coexistence of affluence and underdevelopment in WUI areas of the American West sheds doubt on one-dimensional representations of residents, mutually exclusive interpretations of social determinants of hazard vulnerability, and thus, narrowly conceived or universal management prescriptions (e.g., interventions directed solely toward educating residents about biophysical risks).

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