气候变化对尼日利亚奥纳河沿岸土地利用动态的影响

J. Oyedokun
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摘要

气候变化直接影响到环境和人类的生存。气候变化一直是一个威胁水文循环的怪物,因此河流的流量也受到了威胁。因此,有必要研究其对河流流量的影响,从而制定缓解其影响的措施。利用气候资料(降雨和温度),研究了1967 - 2017年奥纳河地表覆盖和天气条件对流量的影响。利用SPSS (statistical Program for Social Science)软件对温度和降雨资料进行统计变化,以描述该地区主导气候的线性变化、回归和相关性。结果表明,1998年和1999年的降雨量分别为最低和最高。土地利用图显示,建设用地面积逐渐增加,植被面积逐渐减少。由于1999年降水较多,气候较为湿润,奥纳河径流量增加。此外,多年来,由于土地开发,径流严重程度有增加的趋势,导致植被区被建成区取代,而建成区在该地区的保留能力较低。本研究结果可用于其他天气和环境因素下的河流流量预测。
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Impact of climate change on land use dynamics along River Ona, Nigeria
Climate change has direct influence on environment and human existence. Climate change has been a monster posing threat to the hydrological cycle, hence the flow discharge of rivers. Therefore, it is necessary to study its effects on the flow of rivers thereby producing measures to alleviating its effects. In this study, the effects of land cover and weather conditions between 1967 and 2017 on the flow discharge of River Ona were investigated by making use of the climatic data (rainfall and temperature). The statistical variations in temperature and rainfall data were assessed using Statistical Program for Social Science (SPSS) in order to depict the linear variation, regression and correlation of the prevailing climate of the area The results showed that year 1998 and 1999 have the lowest and highest rainfall values respectively. The land-use maps show there is gradual increment in area of lands that are built-up but gradual reduction in the vegetal area. The runoff of River Ona would increase because of wetter climate caused by high rainfall in 1999. In addition, over the years, runoff severity tends to increase because of land development, giving rise to the replacement of vegetal areas by built up areas, which have low retention capacity in the area. The findings from this study can be used to predict the discharge of river given other weather and environmental factors.
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