巴哈马国家说明:2019冠状病毒病的影响和政策选择

E. Salvador
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摘要

与世界其他地区一样,巴哈马也在应对新冠肺炎大流行带来的挑战。这个国家在经济和社会方面将面临非常困难的一年。该岛的主要产业——旅游业的突然停摆,导致失业率上升,国内生产总值(GDP)创下历史新低。与该区域其他国家不同,巴哈马的财政和宏观经济状况更为稳健,这使它能够制定强有力的应急措施。政府制定了一系列刺激活动和支持就业的措施,总额占国内生产总值的2.37%,与人均收入相似的国家相比,这一数字较低。该战略还非常重视正式活动和注册雇员,因此只能通过次优政策来覆盖最弱势群体。本文回顾了巴哈马的经济和社会状况,并介绍了为遏制危机而执行的政策。报告还建议从对没有缴费福利部门的粮食援助转向更广泛的失业保险,这有助于维持消费并减少政府正在实施的项目的数量。由于缺乏协调社会援助的最新记录和统计数据,最后一点尤为重要。
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The Bahamas Country Note: Impact of COVID-19 and policy Options
As the rest of the world, The Bahamas is confronting the challenges derived from the Covid-19 pandemic. The country will face a very difficult year economically and socially. The abrupt halt in tourism, the islands' main industry, is causing unemployment to rise and GDP to fall by historic levels. Unlike other countries in the region, The Bahamas has a more robust fiscal and macroeconomic situation, which allows it to develop a strong emergency response. The Government has established a series of stimuli for activity and employment support totaling 2.37% of GDP, which is low compared to countries with similar per-capita income. The strategy also places great emphasis on formal activities and registered employees, so the most vulnerable population is reached only through sub-optimal policies. This paper reviews the economic and social situation in The Bahamas and describes the policies implemented for the containment of the crisis. It also proposes moving from food assistance for sectors without contributory benefits to broader unemployment insurance that can help maintain consumption and reduce the number of programs the Government is implementing. This last point is particularly important due to the lack of up-to-date records and statistics for coordinating social assistance.
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