运用因子分析法确定承包企业参与投标的可行性

O. Bielienkova, Y. Loktionova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章建议使用因素分析作为方法基础,以确定承包商建筑企业参与投标的便利性、采购领域的商业决策的实质和采用,以及为建筑工程实施竞争性采购程序。基于对Prozorro电子系统中2018-2022年建筑工程招标报价数据的分析和总结,选择了一些因素,这些因素可以表征每个参与投标的承包商对合同的满意程度。为了分析投标报价和确定分包商合同的可取程度,选择了下列输入变量:合同金额占企业上期销售收入的比例、建筑工程的机械化水平、用于支付行政费用的资金、通货膨胀水平、预计工资、作为申请人报价一部分的初始成本(合同价格)、用于支付一般生产成本的资金、预计成本中物质资源的份额、预计利润、竞争对手的数量、中标数与投标数之比。采用主成分法进行因子分析。因此,根据“石筛”方法,区分了三种成分:第一种是市场成分;其次是合同的资源组成部分,这对于单个承包商来说是不同的,对于单个承包商来说,合同的风险程度也是不同的。这三个选择的组成部分共同解释了86.2%的输入指标的变异性。采用文章中提出的方法和根据“合同的可取程度”标准对投标建议书进行评价,将为潜在的参与者提供额外的决策工具。建议的工具包不仅可供建筑承包商使用,也可供投资和建设过程中的其他参与者使用。
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USING FACTOR ANALYSIS TO DETERMINE THE FEASIBILITY OF PARTICIPATION IN TENDERS OF CONTRACTING ENTERPRISES
The article proposes to use factor analysis as a methodological basis for determining the expediency of participation in tenders, substantiation and adoption of business decisions in the field of procurement and conducting competitive procurement procedures for construction works for contractor construction enterprises. Based on the analysis and summarization of data on tender offers for the execution of construction works in the Prozorro electronic system in 2018-2022, a number of factors have been selected that can characterize the degree of desirability of the contract for each individual contractor participating in the bidding. The following input variables were selected for the analysis of tender offers and the determination of the degree of desirability of contracts for subcontractors: the ratio of the amount under the contract to the revenue from the sale of the enterprise for the past period, the level of mechanization of construction works, funds to cover administrative costs, the level of inflation, estimated wages, initial cost as part of the applicant's offer (contract price), funds to cover general production costs, the share of material resources in the estimated cost, estimated profit, the number of competitors, the ratio of the number of tenders won to the number of submitted offers. The assessment was carried out by means of factor analysis - the method of principal components. As a result, according to the "stone scree" method, three components are distinguished: the first is the market component; the second is the resource component of the contract, which differs for an individual contractor, as well as the degree of riskiness of the contract for an individual contractor. The three selected components collectively explain 86.2% of the variability of input indicators. The use of the approach proposed in the article and the evaluation of tender proposals according to the criterion "the degree of desirability of the contract" will provide potential participants with additional tools for decision-making. The proposed toolkit can be used not only by construction contractors, but also by other participants in the investment and construction process. 
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来源期刊
European Journal of Spatial Development
European Journal of Spatial Development Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
40 weeks
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