海上风电项目风险的定性与定量分析

Sayed Amir Hamzeh Mirkheshti, M. Feshari
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引用次数: 2

摘要

风力发电的好处可以解决电力消耗不断增长而配电设施不足的问题。基于对20多项研究的广泛研究,本研究探讨了伊朗波斯湾海上风能的相关风险。本文试图识别相关海上风电项目的风险,通过应用每种风险的影响和可能性,通过定性分析,确定哪些变量对项目影响最大。为了确定变量和风险的相对重要性,进行了一项调查。在项目完成的过程中,应该考虑到一些关键因素,比如技术、研究团队、专家团队(对这个行业有很好的了解的人员),以及选择合适的风电场选址。本文的目的是展示风电项目中遇到的变量,并强调项目开发商、项目团队、供应链参与者、制造商和所有参与项目成功完成的股东必须控制的风险。
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Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis of Off-Shore Wind Energy Project’s Risks
The benefits of wind power can solve the issue of growing power consumption with insufficient distribution facilities. Based on an extensive research on more than 20 studies, this study explores the risks associated with off-shore wind energy in Persian Gulf in Iran. This paper tries to identify the risks in related off-shore wind energy project, in order to specify which variables have the most impact on project by qualitative analysis through application of the impact and the possibility of every risk. A survey was conducted in order to determine the relative importance of variables and risks. Certain key components in completion of the project should be taken into account such as technology, research team, expert teams (personnel that have a good knowledge of this industry), and choosing the right spot where the wind farms will be located. The objective of this paper is to present the variables encountered in wind power project and to highlight the risks that must be controlled by the project developers, project team, supply chain actors, manufacturers, and all the stockholders involved in successful completion of a project.
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13
审稿时长
28 weeks
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