一个新的金融危机综合数据库:识别、频率和持续时间

Thanh Cong Nguyen, Vítor Castro, Justine Wood
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文介绍了一个新的金融危机数据库,为了解不同类型金融危机的原因、持续时间和后果提供了重要的见解。除了将Laeven和Valencia(2020)的系统性银行危机数据库扩展到1970-2019年期间外,我们还开发了识别货币和主权债务危机的新方法,我们认为这些方法在某些方面优于文献中的方法。我们的危机数据库涵盖206个国家,涵盖了151次系统性银行危机(1970-2019)、414次货币危机(1950-2019)、200次主权债务危机(1960-2019)、75次双危机(1970-2019)和21次三重危机(1970-2019)。我们提供的证据表明,银行危机和债务危机往往同时发生或先于货币危机,而债务危机和银行危机不太可能同时发生或先于对方。我们还发现,发达国家经历了较长时间的银行业危机,但较短时间的货币、债务、双重和三重危机。
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A New Comprehensive Database of Financial Crisis: Identification, Frequency and Duration
This paper introduces a new database of financial crises, providing an important insight into the causes, duration, and consequences of different types of financial crises. Besides extending the systemic banking crises database by Laeven and Valencia (2020) to the period 1970–2019, we develop new approaches for the identification of currency and sovereign debt crises, which we regard preferable in some respects to those in the literature. Covering 206 countries, our crises database draws on 151 systemic banking crises (1970-2019), 414 currency crises (1950-2019), 200 sovereign debt crises (1960-2019), 75 twin crises (1970-2019), and 21 triple crises (1970-2019). We provide evidence that banking and debt crises tend to coincide or precede currency crises, while debt crises and banking crises are less likely to coincide or precede each other. We also find that advanced countries experienced longer banking crises but shorter currency, debt, twin, and triple crises.
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