最后,再分配带来的增长:2000-2018年菲律宾的地区贫困和不平等

Joseph J. Capuno
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引用次数: 1

摘要

虽然与越南、中国或印度尼西亚相比,菲律宾2012-2018年的减贫幅度不大,但所有趋势都表明,该国的持续增长将是包容性的。本文利用官方的全国家庭调查,追踪了2000-2018年贫困和不平等的演变和分解。我们发现,与以往不同,2012年以来的增长一直有利于穷人。此外,增长和再分配在2012年之后一致减少了贫困,而在2015年之前,它们往往相互抵消。随着户主和配偶都受雇或接受家庭援助的家庭比例在穷人中比在非穷人中增长得更快,不平等现象有所改善。最后,大多数区域反映了增长质量及其贡献的总体趋势以及对贫穷调整的再分配趋势。因此,菲律宾2000年至2018年的经验强调,仅靠增长并不能确保减贫,而政府主导的再分配的增长可以。
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Growth with redistribution, finally: Regional poverty and inequality in the Philippines, 2000–2018

While the poverty reductions in the Philippines in 2012–2018 are modest compared to what Vietnam, China or Indonesia achieved, all trends indicated the country's continuing growth will be inclusive. This paper traces the evolution and decomposition of poverty and inequality in 2000–2018 using official national household surveys. We find the growth since 2012, unlike before, was consistently pro-poor. Moreover, growth and redistribution aligned after 2012 to reduce poverty, whereas often before 2015 they offset each other's effects. Inequality improved, as the proportions of households with both heads and their spouses employed or receiving domestic assistances have risen faster among the poor than among the non-poor. Finally, the overall trends in the quality of growth and its contribution and that of redistribution to poverty adjustments are reflected in most regions. The Philippine experience in 2000–2018 thus underscores that growth alone does not ensure poverty reductions, while growth with government-directed redistribution can.

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