金融监管与绩效:跨国证据

James R. Barth, G. Caprio, Ross Levine
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引用次数: 126

摘要

过去二十年来,代价高昂的银行倒闭事件使人们的注意力集中在寻找改善各国金融体系表现的方法的必要性上。人们普遍认为,金融体系可以得到改善,但几乎没有经验证据支持有关监管改革的任何具体建议。由于缺乏对金融监管和监督体系的跨国比较,经济学家无法决定如何纠正发展中经济体的激励和道德风险问题——例如,是要求更高(且定义更狭义)的资本与资产比率,要求更严格地定义和披露不良贷款,要求发行次级债务,还是建立世界级的监管机构。拟议中的改革通常涉及金融监管和监管标准的变化,但许多关于改革的紧迫问题仍未得到解答。利用一个新的数据库,作者对三个关键问题给出了简短的答案:政府和官僚体系相对薄弱的国家是否对银行活动施加了更严格的监管限制?是的。监管制度更为严格的国家的银行体系是否运转不畅?没有——至少证据是混杂的。监管制度更严格的国家发生银行业危机的可能性更小吗?不。事实上,情况正好相反。在银行证券活动受到限制的国家,在其他条件相同的情况下,发生银行危机的可能性更大。
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Financial Regulation and Performance: Cross-Country Evidence
Costly bank failures in the past two decades have focused attention on the need to find ways to improve the performance of different countries' financial systems. Belief is overwhelming that financial systems can be improved but there is little empirical evidence to support any specific advice about regulatory and supervisory reform. With scant cross-country comparisons of financial regulatory and supervisory systems, economists cannot decide how to correct incentives and moral hazard problems in developing economies--whether, for example, to require higher (and more narrowly defined) capital-to-asset ratios, to mandate stricter definition and disclosure of non-performing loans, to require that subordinated debt be issued, or to install world-class supervision. Proposed reforms usually involve changes in financial regulations and supervisory standards, but many pressing questions about reform remain unanswered. Making use of a new database, the authors come up with brief answers to three key questions: Do countries with relatively weak governments and bureaucratic systems impose harsher regulatory restrictions on bank activities? Yes. Do countries with more restrictive regulatory regimes have poorly functioning banking systems. No--or at least the evidence is mixed. Do countries with more restrictive regulatory systems have less probability of suffering a banking crisis? No. In fact, the reverse is true. In countries where banks' securities activities are restricted, the likelihood of a banking crisis is greater, other things being equal.
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