气候变化、农村家庭粮食消费和脆弱性:以越南本崔省为例。

K. Nguyen, C. Jolly, Chuong Bui, Trang Le
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引用次数: 8

摘要

越南的气候变化与海平面上升、气温升高和内陆盐水入侵有关。湄公河三角洲的本崔省受到最近气候变化引发的天气事件的严重影响。随着咸水的入侵,罕见的台风也给该省的经济造成了严重的破坏。在这项研究中,我们试图衡量气候变化对家庭消费和脆弱性水平的影响。调查了300个家庭。脆弱性指数的分布表明,平均而言,沿海家庭低于人均每天1.25美元的最低消费门槛水平的概率为43%。46%的家庭容易受到气候风险的影响,而54%的家庭被认为不容易受到气候风险的影响。影响本特雷省农村家庭食品消费的因素是家庭其他收入来源、户主的教育水平、生计多样性指数、家庭获得信贷的接触次数、户主的性别和在家庭外工作的年轻人数量。户主的受教育程度略微增加了消费风险。过去10年影响家庭的平均洪水次数降低了消费脆弱性,而过去10年淹没社区的平均洪水次数增加了消费脆弱性
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Climate change, rural household food consumption and vulnerability: the case of Ben Tre province in Vietnam.
Climate change is associated to sea level rise, increases in temperature and inland salt water intrusion in Vietnam. Ben Tre Province in the Mekong Delta has suffered immensely from recent climate change triggered weather events. Along with salt water intrusion, unusual typhoons also inflicted serious damages to the economy of the province. In this study, we attempt to measure the effects of climate change on household consumption and levels of vulnerability. Three hundred households were surveyed. The distribution of vulnerability index showed that on average there is a 43 percent probability that a coastal household will fall below the minimum consumption threshold level of US $1.25 per capita per day. Forty-six percent of households are vulnerable to climatic risk, while 54 percent of households are considered not vulnerable. The factors affecting food consumption in rural households in Ben Tre Province are the households other sources of income, education level of head of households, livelihood diversity index, the number of contacts the household made to access credit, gender of the head of the household and the number of young people working outside the household. Level of education of the head of household marginally increases consumption risks. The average number of floods that affect the household in the past 10 years reduces consumption vulnerability while the average number of the floods that inundated the community in the past ten years increases consumption vulnerability
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