预测分析在电信项目管理中的应用

Z. Chaczko, S. Slehat, A. Salmon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文解决了基于技术的行业中表现不佳甚至完全失败的项目的普遍问题。有强有力的证据表明,造成这种情况的一个主要影响因素是对可获得有效技术以协助管理部门进行项目规划的错误假设。本文的目的是展示和讨论在电信行业中使用预测分析方法和工具的有效方法,以减轻项目规划问题并避免可能的项目失败。虽然这些方法和工具并不新鲜,因为传统的统计模型构成了应用程序的核心,但是,新奇之处源于这些工具用于表示和工作流的新过程和方法。这种方法上的改变允许通过向更广泛的最终用户社区提供访问来降低使用障碍。由于将形式化的方法嵌入到工作流程中,用户可以更容易地通过复杂的分析过程,从而允许技术不太先进的用户得出有价值的结论,而不必接受高级统计方法的正式培训。所讨论的案例研究证明了预测分析作为电信领域项目规划的强大且高度可访问的工具的适用性。
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Application of Predictive Analytics in Telecommunications Project Management
This paper addresses a prevalent issue in technologybased industries of underperforming or even totally failing projects. There is strong evidence that a major influencing factor to the situation is the incorrect assumption about availability of effective technology that can assist management in project planning. The aim of the paper is to demonstrate and discuss effective approaches for using Predictive Analytics methods and tools in the Telecommunications industry to mitigate project planning issues and avoid possible project failures. Although, these methods and tools are not new, as the traditional statistical models form the core of the application, however, the novelty stems from the new processes and methods used by these tools for presentation and workflow. This change in the approach allowes to lower the usage barrier by providing an access to a wider community of end-users. Thanks to embeding a formalised approach into the workflow, users are guided through complex analytical processes more easily, thus allowing less technically advanced users to draw valuable conclusions without necessarily requiring a formal training in advanced statistical methods. Discussed case studies demonstrate suitability of Predictive Analytics as a powerful and highly accessible tool for project planning in the telecommunications domain.
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