数字化转型对改善西非服务贸易的影响评估

IF 1.1 Q4 BUSINESS Foreign Trade Review Pub Date : 2021-08-14 DOI:10.1177/00157325211032021
Nnanna P. Azu, Philip A. Nwauko
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引用次数: 7

摘要

数字革命是推动全球化浪潮和全球经济转型的重要力量。但西非地区数字化转型和服务贸易的步伐较慢。本文研究了数字化转型对该地区服务贸易发展的影响。这项研究从两个角度考察了数字化:互联网普及率和移动订阅率。Im-Pesaran-Shin单位根检验证实了该模型适用于面板自回归分布滞后估计方法。采用池均值群估计,结果证明了模型中存在协整。研究表明,数字化对服务贸易的影响是一种长期现象。虽然出口的结果是稳健的,但进口的结果并不一致。数字化对服务出口的长期积极影响在0.087%至0.159%之间,取决于数字化的代理。总体短期效应在出口方面不显著,在进口方面也不强劲。据报道,它在一些国家是一致的,但在其他一些国家并不强大。本地区需要团结一致,接受和适应技术的新面貌,提高服务贸易水平。JEL代码:C23, F14, O33
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Evaluating the Effect of Digital Transformation on Improvement of Service Trade in West Africa
Digital revolution is instrumental to the wave of globalisation and transformation of the global economy. But the pace of digital transformation and service trade is low in the West African region. This article investigates the effect of digital transformation on the development of service trade in the region. This research captured digitisation in two standpoints: internet penetration rate and mobile subscription rate. The Im-Pesaran-Shin unit-root test affirms that the model is appropriate for panel autoregressive distributed lag estimation method. Adopting pool mean group estimator, the results attest for the existence of cointegrations in the model. The estimations reveal that the effect of digitisation on service trade is a long-run phenomenon. While the result is robust with export, it is not consistent with import. The long-run positive impact of digitisation on service export ranges from 0.087% to 0.159%, depending on the proxy for digitisation. The overall short-run effect is not statistically significant in export and not robust in import. It is reportedly consistent in some countries but not robust with some others. The region needs to rally in adopting and adapting to the new face of technology to improve service trade. JEL Codes: C23, F14, O33
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CiteScore
2.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
37
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