俄罗斯劳动力市场退出年龄的地域差异

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES Ekonomika Regiona-Economy of Region Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.17059/ekon.reg.2022-3-7
V. Lyashok, E. Varshavskaya
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引用次数: 0

摘要

实际退休年龄是老年人就业和退休行为的最重要特征之一。自上世纪90年代中期以来,有效退休年龄一直被用来估计老年工人退出劳动力市场的年龄。在俄罗斯各地区社会经济差别很大的情况下,不仅应该在国家一级,而且应该在区域一级评估这一参数。本文提出了2010-2019年俄罗斯地区劳动力市场退出年龄(有效退休年龄)的估计,并确定了决定其地区间差异的因素。首次使用俄罗斯的数据对有效退休年龄及其决定因素进行了评估。特别是对劳动力调查和区域统计进行了分析。有效退休年龄的计算采用静态和动态两种方法;计量经济模型被用来确定其决定因素。该研究显示,2019年男性退出劳动力市场的年龄为62.4岁,女性为60.2岁。俄罗斯男性和女性的实际退休年龄高于该国的正常退休年龄,但低于大多数经合组织国家的平均水平。2010-2019年期间,男性退出劳动力市场的年龄几乎没有变化,而女性的退出年龄略有增加(增加了0.7岁)。劳动力市场退出年龄的特征是相当显著和稳定的区域差异。实际退休年龄的决定因素是一个地区的北部地位、该地区养老金的相对水平(平均养老金与平均工资的比率)、受过高等教育的雇员比例。研究结果可用于制定增加老年人就业的措施。养老金改革导致的劳动力市场退出年龄的变化需要进一步研究。
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Interregional Differentiation of the Age of Exit from the Labour Market in Russia
Actual retirement age is one of the most important characteristics of older people employment and retirement behaviour. Since the mid-1990s, the effective retirement age has been used to estimate the age of exit from the labour market of older workers. In the context of significant socio-economic differentiation of Russian regions, this parameter should be assessed not only at the national, but also at the regional level. The article presents estimates of the age of exit from the labour market (effective retirement age) in Russian regions for 2010-2019, as well as identifies the factors determining its interregional differentiation. For the first time, the effective retirement age and its determining factors were assessed using Russian data. In particular, Labour Force Survey and regional statistics were analysed. To calculate the effective retirement age, both static and dynamic approaches were applied; econometric modelling was used to identify its determinants. The study revealed that in 2019 the age of exit from the labour market was 62.4 years for men and 60.2 years for women. The effective retirement age for Russian men and women is higher than the normal retirement age in the country, but is lower than the average of most OECD countries. For the period 2010-2019, the age of exit from the labour market remained practically unchanged for men, while it slightly increased for women (by 0.7 years). The age of exit from the labour market is characterised by a fairly significant and stable regional differentiation. The determinants of the effective retirement age are the northern status of a region, the relative level of pensions in the region (the ratio of the average pension to the average wage), the share of employees with higher education. The research results can be used to develop measures to increase the older people employment. Changes in the age of exit from the labour market caused by the pension reform require a further study.
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CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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