支持粮食安全提高水稻生产质量的系统动力学模拟

Mala Rosa Aprillya, E. Suryani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景:粮食安全政策是一项努力,以确保稳定的粮食供应和稳定的社区获得粮食。随着人口的增长,这将影响到未来粮食需求的满足。因此,需要增加水稻产量来支持粮食安全。目的:通过动态系统模拟分析影响水稻生产质量的因素,为制定政策策略提供依据。方法:系统动力学仿真(SD)是一种通过模拟非线性行为来研究和分析复杂系统的方法。然后用计算机进行了几个场景的最佳决策。结果:情景分析结果表明,通过提高水稻产量来提高水稻生产质量以满足未来粮食需求是可行的,因为这将使水稻生产升级,对水稻生产有很大贡献。结论:从模拟结果来看,研究可以通过改进收获机制,提高产量,提高水稻生产质量,维护粮食安全。对于进一步的研究,可以考虑使用智能农业来增加水稻的产量。关键词:粮食安全,水稻生产,水稻生产,系统动力学
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Simulation of System Dynamics for Improving The Quality of Paddy Production in Supporting Food Security
Background: The food security policy is an effort to ensure stable food availability and stable access of the community to food. As the population increases, this will affect the fulfillment of food needs in the future. Therefore, increase in rice production is needed to support food security. Objective: Conduct an analysis of the factors affecting the quality of rice production by using a dynamic system simulation that can be used as a basis for formulating policy strategies. Method: Simulation using System Dynamics (SD) is a method used to study and analyze complex systems by modeling non-linear behavior. Then several scenarios were carried out for the best decision-making using a computer. Result: The results of the scenario show that increasing the quality of paddy production in order to meet food needs in the future is doable by boosting the rendement of paddy as it will upgrade rice production which  will contribute greatly to rice production. Conclusion: From the simulation results, the  study can be used to increase the quality of rice production to maintain food security by improving the harvesting mechanism to increase yields. For further research, the use of Smart Agriculture can be considered to increase production of rice.   Keywords: Food security, Rice production, Rice production, System dynamics
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