汇率制度选择对经济绩效的影响:以土耳其为例

Cenktan Ozyildirim, Alovsat Muslumov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究分析了土耳其在过去二十年中实施的汇率制度和稳定方案。通过这些分析,一些在文献中广泛争论的重要观点受到了质疑。得出了三个重要结论,与以往文献的普遍共识一致;(1)经济因素,即汇率、通货膨胀和利率的价值差异是非常危险的,它会扰乱经济的平衡,使其容易受到经济危机的影响;(2)尽管汇率制度的选择非常重要,但它并不是导致经济危机的唯一因素;最后(3)每种汇率制度相对于其他汇率制度都有优点和缺点。因此,很难断定哪一种方法比其他方法更适合一个经济体。
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The Effects of Exchange Rate Regime Choice on Economic Performance: The Case of Turkey
This study analyses the exchange rate regimes and stabilization programs applied by Turkey in the last two decades.Through these analyses, some important points, widely debated in the literature, are questioned. Three important conclusions, which are consistent with the general consensus in the previous literature, are reached; (1) Disparities in the values of the economic factors, namely exchange rate, inflation and interest rates, are very dangerous and disturbs the balance of the economy and makes it vulnerable to economic crisis, (2) even though the choice of the exchange rate regime is very important, it is not the only factor that leads to economic crisis, and finally (3) each exchange rate regime has advantages and disadvantages compared to others, so it is hard to conclude that one is more appropriate than others for an economy.
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