警报:人类还没有为不可避免的全球气候变化做好准备

Dr. Mikhail Krasnyansky
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摘要

这篇文章是一篇科学综述,首先是关于全球变暖和气候变化的后果,其次是人类适应这些气候变化的紧迫方法。报告显示,大气中二氧化碳浓度的增加及其平均温度的增加与自然灾害次数的增加密切相关,因此,消除其后果的预算费用也会增加。另一方面,讨论了完全阻止全球气候变化的不可能性,更不用说回到1970年的参数,例如:从地球大气中去除数十亿吨二氧化碳;恢复地球两极和山峰上数万亿吨的冰;减少世界海洋海水的酸度和冷却。因此,人们得出的结论是,把数千亿美元花在“对抗气候变化”上是不明智的,而把这数十亿美元花在人类对已经发生变化的气候的紧急适应上是明智的。此外,文章详细探讨了防止飓风、洪水、野火、大量燃烧化石燃料、传统农业以及世界海洋的巨大污染所造成的破坏和损失的方法和选择:用绿色能源和绿色交通替代化石燃料,在危险地区只建造抗飓风和防火的建筑物,在可能发生洪水的地区建造水坝和强大的排水系统,向超导地下电缆过渡,广泛使用小型模块化低浓缩铀核反应堆,广泛使用热泵,从传统的养牛向人造肉过渡,在农业中广泛使用所谓的垂直农场,最大限度地减少各个阶段的粮食损失,等等。查尔斯·达尔文的名言清楚地表达了这份报告的主要思想:“生存下来的不是最强壮和最聪明的人,而是最能适应不断变化的环境的人。”也就是说,不是最强大的国家(拥有最大的GDP),不是最聪明的国家(将学会从大气中提取所有多余的二氧化碳),而是最适应这种变化的气候(飓风,洪水,干旱,野火等)的国家-将有更多的生存机会。
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Alarm: Mankind is Not Ready for Inevitable Global Climate Change
This article is a scientific review, first, of the consequences of global warming and climate change, and second, of the urgent ways for humanity to adapt to these climate changes. It is shown that an increase in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, as well as an increase in its average temperature, correlates well with an increase in the number of natural disasters and, accordingly, an increase in budget costs for the removal of their consequences. On the other hand, the impossibility of completely stopping global climate change, let alone returning to its 1970 parameters, is discussed, for example: removing billions of tons of CO2 from the Earth's atmosphere; restoring trillions of tons of ice at the poles of the Earth and its mountain peaks; reduce the acidity of the waters of the World Ocean and its cooling. Hence the conclusion is made about the inexpediency of spending hundreds of billions of dollars on "the fight against climate change" and the expediency of spending these billions on the urgent adaptation of mankind to an already changed climate. Further, the article examines in detail the ways and options to prevent the destruction and loss caused by hurricanes, flooding, wildfires, massive burning of fossil fuels, traditional agriculture, as well as huge pollution of the World Ocean: replacement of fossil fuels with green energy and green transport, the construction of only hurricane-resistant and fire-resistant buildings in hazardous areas, the construction of dams and powerful drainage systems in areas of probable flooding, the transition to superconducting underground electrical cables, the widespread use of small modular low-enriched uranium nuclear reactors, widespread use of heat pumps, the transition from traditional cattle breeding to artificial meat, the widespread in agriculture use of so-called vertical farms, minimization of food losses at all stages, and more. The main idea of this report was clearly expressed by Charles Darwin in his well-known quote: “It is not the strongest and smartest who survive but the one who adjusts best to the changing environment.” That is, not the strongest nation (with the largest GDP), not the smartest nation (which will learn to extract all the excess CO2 from the atmosphere), but the nation that is best adapted to live in this changed climate (with hurricanes, floods, droughts, wildfires, etc.) - will have more chances to survive.
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