为什么中国的储蓄率如此之高?

D. Yang, Junsen Zhang, Shaojie Zhou
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引用次数: 147

摘要

在本文中,我们将“中国储蓄之谜”定义为:在过去的30年里,国民储蓄率持续高企,占国内生产总值(GDP)的34- 53%,从2000年到2008年,储蓄率飙升了11个百分点。利用资金账户流动(FFA)和城市住户调查(UHS)的数据,并辅以现有研究结果,我们分析了中国政府、企业和家庭部门储蓄率高企且不断上升的来源和原因。尽管中国高储蓄的原因是复杂的,但我们认为,在可预见的未来,中国经济内外环境中不断变化的经济、人口和政策趋势可能会导致国民储蓄下降。
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Why are Saving Rates so High in China?
In this paper, we define "The Chinese Saving Puzzle" as the persistently high national saving rate at 34-53 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in the past three decades and a surge in the saving rate by 11 percentage points from 2000-2008. Using data from the Flow of Funds Accounts (FFA) and Urban Household Surveys (UHS) supplemented by the findings from existing studies, we analyze the sources and causes of China's high and rising saving rates in the government, corporate, and household sectors. Although the causes of China's high saving are complex, we suggest that the evolving economic, demographic, and policy trends in the internal and external environments of the Chinese economy will likely lead to a decline in national saving in the foreseeable future.
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