稀有地球物理过程场景下的自主技术(水下焦点)

L. Ferreira
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摘要

从生态学的角度,对“地球系统”的科学考察揭示了它的复杂性,地球物理过程的相互作用证明了这一点——发生在“全球大气系统”中;在“世界海洋”——既有利于“世界气候”;在“地球的内部”;在这些部分和外太空之间。环境风险(地球物理)由于极端情况的配置而存在(CAPRA, 1982;威廉姆斯,2006;SKINNER and MURCK, 2011)。在核时代,并考虑到采用新兴自主技术作为这类武器的可能性,存在地缘政治风险(KAHN, 2007;NICHOLS et al., 2022)。可以想象风险(地球物理和地缘政治)之间的交叉(WEICK, 1989;GAUB, 2020;MCLENNAN et al., 2021)。本研究分析了风险(交叉地球物理和地缘政治)同时发生的可能性,认为这是各种情景的关键不确定性,而且由于自治系统容易受到不太可能发生的地球物理过程的(特殊的)流体流动的影响,因此本研究确认"海上"(重点是水下)技术可能对"地球系统"构成威胁;21世纪的科学思想观念。
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Autonomous Technology in Scenario by Rare Geophysical Processes (Underwater Focus)
From an ecological perspective, scientific investigation of the “Earth system” reveals its complexity, evidenced by the interaction of geophysical processes –which occur in the “global atmospheric system”; in the “world ocean” –both favoring the “world climate”; in "the interior of the globe"; and, between each of these parts and outer space. Environmental risks (geophysical) exist due to the configuration of extreme circumstances (CAPRA, 1982; MCWILLIAMS, 2006; SKINNER and MURCK, 2011). In the nuclear age, and taking into account the possibility of employing emerging autonomous technology as a weapon of this category, a geopolitical risk exists (KAHN, 2007; NICHOLS et al., 2022). Crossing between risks (geophysical and geopolitical) can be imagined (WEICK, 1989; GAUB, 2020; MCLENNAN et al., 2021). Analyzing the plausibility of the coincident occurrence of risks (crossed–geophysical and geopolitical) as a critical uncertainty for scenarios –and due to the vulnerability of autonomous systems to the (sui generis) flow of fluids by unlikely geophysical processes –the present study ratifies the technology "in the sea” (underwater, in focus) as a possible threat to the “Earth-system”; in the conception of scientific thought for the 21st century.
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