乳酸/白蛋白比值可作为术后肠梗阻患者的预后指标

Chunfei Wang, Yide Li, Menjing Yao, Wei-xiong Mo
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摘要

目的:探讨乳酸/白蛋白比值对重症监护病房(ICU)术后肠梗阻患者死亡率的预测价值。方法:回顾性分析来自eICU合作研究数据库(eICU- crd)的患者资料。根据预后,将术后24小时内入住ICU的术后肠梗阻患者分为存活组(233例)和非存活组(35例)。收集患者的临床特征及评分资料。采用Logistic回归分析评价死亡危险因素,并将这些危险因素纳入受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve, ROC),评价对患者死亡的预测价值。结果:ICU患者术后肠梗阻住院死亡率为13.1%(35/268)。非存活患者的乳酸/白蛋白比值显著高于存活患者(1.36±1.54 vs 0.70±0.64;P < 0.001)。Logistic回归分析显示,乳酸/白蛋白比值(OR=0.667, 95%CI: 1.328 ~ 2.485, P=0.001)可独立预测ICU术后肠梗阻患者的住院死亡率。进一步分析显示,乳酸/白蛋白比值水平的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.681。结论:这些数据提示乳酸/白蛋白比值对ICU术后肠梗阻患者的死亡率具有潜在的预测价值。
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Lactate/Albumin Ratio Could be a Prognostic Indicator for Patients with Post-operative Intestinal Obstruction
Objective: This study aimed to investigate the value of lactate/albumin ratio in prediction of mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with post-operative intestinal obstruction. Method: A retrospective analysis was conducted with patient data from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). According to the outcome, the patients with post-operative intestinal obstruction who were admitted to ICU within 24 hours after surgery were separated into two groups: survivors (233 cases) and non-survivors (35 cases). Their clinical characteristics and scoring data were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk factors for death, and these risk factors were further included for the construction of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) to evaluate the predictive value of death for these patients. Results: In-hospital mortality for patients admitted to ICU with post-operative intestinal obstruction was 13.1% (35/268). The level of lactate/albumin ratio was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (1.36±1.54 versus 0.70±0.64; P<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that the lactate/albumin ratio (OR=0.667, 95%CI: 1.328-2.485, P=0.001) could predict in-hospital mortality independently for the patients in ICU with post-operative intestinal obstruction. Further analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) value of lactate/albumin ratio level was 0.681. Conclusions: These data suggested that the lactate/albumin ratio has potential predictive value for mortality in ICU patients with post-operative intestinal obstruction.
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