质量取胜吗?在高科技市场上与根深蒂固的市场领导者竞争

G. Tellis, Eden Yin, Rakesh Niraj
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摘要

近年来,随着一些较早进入市场的企业占据了巨大的市场份额,评论家们一直想知道,质量最好的产品是否能赢得市场。早期进入者可以在用户中获得广泛接受的地位。事实上,已经有相当数量的人在使用该产品,这可能会促使新消费者像滚雪球一样选择这种早期选择,从而导致消费者锁定。许多经济学家担心,这种“网络效应”可能使劣质产品甚至在面对高质量替代品时,也能捍卫自己根深蒂固的地位。本文在19个高科技市场(包括硬件、软件和服务)中测试了这一前提的有效性。结果表明,与上述担忧相反,在大多数情况下,健康的市场演变是在没有监管干预的情况下发生的。质量更好的进入者在进入三到五年内获得市场主导地位。研究结果还表明,投资开发高质量的产品是有意义的,即使市场似乎被一个根深蒂固的行业领导者所主导,网络效应甚至在某些情况下提高了市场效率
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Does Quality Win? Competing Against an Entrenched Market-Leader in High-Tech Markets
Abstract In recent years, with some early entrants to a market commanding huge market shares, critics have wondered whether the best quality products win in the market place. Early entrants can gain a position of wide-spread acceptance among users. The fact that a critical mass already uses the product might prompt new consumers to snowball onto this early choice leading to consumer lock-in. Many economists fear that such “network effects” may enable inferior products to defend their entrenched positions even against higher quality alternatives. This article tests the validity of this premise in 19 high-tech markets including hardware, software, and services. Results indicate that contrary to the above fear, healthy market evolution occurs in most cases without regulatory intervention. Better quality entrants gain market dominance within three to five years of entry. The findings also show that it makes sense to invest in developing high quality products even if the market seems dominated by an entrenched industry leader and that network effects even increase market efficiency in some cases
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