缓解山洪暴发:对研究和应用的建议

B. Montz, E. Gruntfest
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引用次数: 140

摘要

新技术有望减少山洪暴发造成的损失。然而,利用庞大的多传感器网络进行实时观测、利用遥感和地理信息系统进行更精确的制图、建立更快的水文和气象模型以及增加预报提前期并没有减少损失。1999年11月,来自9个国家的35名研究人员在意大利拉维罗的一个北约资助的高级研究所会面,讨论了这些问题,并制定了一项研究议程,其中包括应对山洪暴发所需的各种组成部分。该研究所的主要建议是:(1)更加重视提高对山洪预警所涉及的社会过程的理解,特别是在响应阶段;(2)需要以符合长期经济和社会目标的可持续方式减少脆弱性。水文气象学和社会科学之间的关系被认为对提高我们应对山洪暴发的能力至关重要。
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Flash flood mitigation: recommendations for research and applications
Abstract New technologies promise reduced flash flood losses. However, real-time observations with vast multi-sensor networks, more precise mapping capabilities using remote sensing and GIS, quicker hydrological and meteorological models, and increasing forecast lead times have not reduced losses. In November, 1999, 35 researchers from nine countries met in Ravello, Italy at a NATO sponsored Advanced Study Institute, to discuss these issues and to develop a research agenda that incorporates the various components required to cope with flash floods. The key recommendations from the Institute were: (1) greater emphasis on increasing understanding of the social processes involved in flash flood warning, particularly in the response phases, and (2) the need to reduce vulnerability in sustainable ways compatible with long-term economic and social goals. The relationship between hydrometeorology and social science is seen as critical to advancing our abilities to cope with flash floods.
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