蓝色产业的投入产出分析:爱沙尼亚与芬兰的比较研究

Gaygysyz Ashyrov, T. Paas, Maryna Tverdostup
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文的重点是研究蓝色产业在爱沙尼亚和芬兰这两个有海洋边界的邻国的国民经济中的作用。我们利用投入产出(I-O)方法来分析依靠经合组织I-O表的产业间联系。经合组织数据库包括1995年至2011年期间国民经济34个部门的信息。分析的结果表明,尽管在国民经济中,蓝色工业总量之间的全面向后和向前联系相当薄弱,但它们在海洋区域的经济活动中发挥了显著的作用,并在很大程度上推动了爱沙尼亚和芬兰区域和国家经济在创造新的增长和就业方面的经济成功。弱的向后和向前联系表明,蓝色经济内部的负动态对整体经济产生相当弱的负外部性,相比之下,如果国民经济作为一个整体遭受危机,对工业的潜在影响并不特别显著。研究结果表明,蓝色产业在国民经济中相对独立,对海洋区域的社会经济发展具有显著作用,从而为两国海洋区域跨境合作的稳定发展创造了良好的前提条件。
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The Input-Output Analysis of Blue Industries: Comparative Study of Estonia and Finland
The paper focuses on examining the role of blue industries in the national economies of Estonia and Finland as two neighbouring countries that have a sea border. We exploit the Input-Output (I-O) methodology to analyse inter-industry linkages relying on the OECD I-O tables. The OECD database comprises information on 34 sectors of the national economy over the period 1995–2011. The results of the analysis show that despite rather weak overall backward and forward linkages of aggregated blue industries within the national economies, they play a remarkable role in the economic activities of maritime regions, and to a large extent drive the economic success of Estonian and Finnish regional and national economies in generating new growth and employment. The weak backward and forward linkages indicate that negative dynamics within the blue economy yield rather weak negative externalities for the overall economy, and by contrast, if the national economy as a whole is suffering under a crisis, the potential impact on industries is not particularly remarkable. These findings suggest that blue industries are relatively independent within national economies having a remarkable role in socio-economic development of maritime regions, and thereby, create good preconditions for the stable development of cross-border cooperation between the maritime regions of both countries.
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