2019 - 2021年黎巴嫩民间抗议:与摩尔多瓦和白俄罗斯和平集会的简要比较

D. Poble
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摘要

黎巴嫩是一个独特的、多教派的东地中海阿拉伯国家,有着悠久的腓尼基历史,在过去的两年里又经历了一波动荡。大约在同一时期,东欧两个后苏联国家爆发了广泛的抗议活动,表达了他们对伪造选票、腐败和政府在面对日益恶化的经济形势时的政治动机的愤怒。这项研究的目的是找出这些民间集会和集会的共同和独特因素,并预测它们对区域间关系和地缘政治趋势可能产生的影响。由于缺乏对主题的基础研究,而不是分析和媒体报道,这篇文章可能会有一些独特之处。本文对黎巴嫩、摩尔多瓦和白俄罗斯的体制、政治和经济危机以及由此引发的抗议行动进行了简明的比较。随着国内外政治集团的利益及其影响,发现了一些特点。为了预测这些国家周围局势的一些进一步发展,包括该区域主要行动者对内部和外部进程的态度,作出了谨慎的预测,试图使天平向有利于它们的方向倾斜。
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THE 2019 – 2021 LEBANON CIVIL PROTESTS: CONCISE COMPARISON WITH MOLDOVA AND BELARUS PEACEFUL RALLIES AND ASSEMBLIES
Lebanon, a unique, poly-confessional Eastern Mediterranean country of Arab origin with a long Phoenician history, has seen yet another wave of unrest in the last two years. Around the same period, widespread protests were aroused in two post-soviet countries in Eastern Europe, expressing their outrage at the falsification of vote tallies, corruption, and the political motivation of their governments in the face of a worsening economic situation. The aim of the study was to find out the common and distinctive elements of these civil rallies and assemblies, as well as to predict their possible impact on interregional relations and geopolitical tendencies. The article may indicate some unique features due to the lack of fundamental research studies on the theme rather than analytics and media reports. A concise comparison is made of Lebanon’s, Moldova’s, and Belarus’s situation with respect to their establishment, political and economic crisis, resulting protest actions. Some peculiarities were discovered following the interests of internal and external political groups and their influence. A cautious prognosis was made in order to forecast some further developments in the situation around these countries, including the attitude of the key actors in the region towards the processes inside and outside, trying to tip the scales in their favor.  
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来源期刊
International Journal of Civic, Political, and Community Studies
International Journal of Civic, Political, and Community Studies Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
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