同塔省全要素生产率对经济增长的贡献:现状及2021 - 2025年展望

D. Quan, N. K. Phuoc
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文基于2000 - 2020年的数据,运用柯布-道格拉斯生产函数方法,分析了全要素生产率(TFP)对山东省经济增长的贡献。研究结果表明,资本贡献(ε_K)为0.3524,劳动力贡献(ε_L)为0.6476。同塔省2011 - 2015年和2016 - 2020年5年各时期TFP平均增长率分别为2.31% /年和1.93% /年,TFP对经济增长的贡献率分别为34.51%和30.01%。基于2011 - 2015年和2016 - 2020年的现状分析,本研究提出了2021 - 2025年同塔省与四个生产力导向相关的四种增长情景。这项研究的结果是组织政策和社会经济发展方向的基础,提出省级发展指导方针和计划到2025年,面向2030年。
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Contribution of TFP to economic growth of Dong Thap province: Current status and scenarios for the period 2021 - 2025
The study aims to analyze the contribution of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Dong Thap ’province’s economic growth using the Cobb-Douglas production function method, based on the data from 2000 - 2020. The study results show that the contribution of capital (ε_K) is 0.3524, the contribution of labor (ε_L) is 0.6476. Dong Thap province’s average TFP growth rate in each period of 05 years 2011 - 2015 and 2016 - 2020 is 2.31% per year and 1.93% per year, respectively, and ’TFP’s contribution to economic growth is 34.51% and 30.01%, respectively. Based on the status analysis of the period 2011 - 2015 and 2016 - 2020, the study proposes four growth scenarios associated with four productivity orientations for Dong Thap province in 2021 - 2025. This ’study’s results are the basis for organizational policies and orientations for socio-economic development, proposing provincial development guidelines and plans to 2025, oriented to 2030.
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