非拥堵多车道高速公路宏观变道特性实证研究

Gang-Len Chang, Yang-Ming Kao
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引用次数: 105

摘要

本文研究了非拥堵多车道高速公路的宏观变道特性,重点研究了交通状况与车辆变道频率(和比例)之间的相互关系。可用于分析的数据是从两个试验点收集的,使用的是经过时间流逝的视频记录器。研究发现,车头时距均值和方差、车速、相邻车道间密度比等交通流变量与车辆变道比例和变道频率高度相关。用两个广义线性模型进一步检验了探索性分析的结果。采用logistic回归和泊松回归分别构建变道分数模型和变道频率模型。使用最大似然估计(MLE),两个模型提供一致的信息并获得合理的拟合优度。
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An empirical investigation of macroscopic lane-changing characteristics on uncongested multilane freeways

This article investigates the macroscopic lane-changing characteristics on uncongested multilane freeways, focusing on the interrelations between the traffic conditions and the frequency (and fraction) of vehicles changing lanes. The data available for analyses were collected from two test sites using a time-elapsed video recorder. It has been found that traffic flow variables, such as the headway mean and variance, speed, and density ratios between neighboring lanes, are highly correlated with the fraction and frequency of vehicles changing lanes. The results of exploratory analyses are further examined with two generalized linear models. The logistic and Poisson regressions are used respectively for constructing the lane-changing fraction and frequency models. With maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) both models provide consistent information and achieve a reasonable goodness of fit.

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