英国经济前景

Dr Lucy O'Carroll
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摘要

英国经济的前景比六个月前更为乐观。全球经济形势已经企稳,如果说有什么不同的话,那就是英国国内需求强于预期。然而,我们应该审视商业主张是否容易受到各种风险的影响——不仅是增长放缓的风险,还有一旦出现“繁荣-萧条”周期,是否容易受到利率大幅上升的影响。前景的风险仍然略微偏向于下行,但英国仍然有能力从2002年下半年相对温和和短暂的低迷中复苏。版权所有©2002 Henry Stewart Publications
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The outlook for the UK economy

The outlook for the UK economy is more positive than six months ago. Conditions in the global economy have steadied and UK domestic demand is, if anything, stronger than expected. Business propositions should, however, be examined for vulnerability to various risks – not only the risk of more subdued growth, but also for any vulnerability to a sharp interest rate rise should a ‘boom-bust’ cycle materialise. The risks to the outlook remain marginally weighted to the downside, but the UK remains well placed to recover from a relatively mild and short-lived downturn in the second half of 2002. Copyright © 2002 Henry Stewart Publications

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