美国天然气管道运输市场:能源转型研究问题入门指南

Kristina Mohlin
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摘要

天然气目前占美国一次能源消费的近三分之一,在正在进行的能源转型背景下,天然气经常被描述为桥梁燃料。随着煤电厂的退役和可变可再生资源在美国电力市场中的份额的增长,电力部门的二氧化碳排放量正在下降,燃气电厂越来越依赖于提供峰值和平衡服务,以补充风能和太阳能发电厂的可变电力供应。过去十年来,燃气发电的增长使电力部门成为美国州际天然气管道网络的最大用户,仅次于工业和建筑部门。然而,由于旨在加热负荷电气化和全经济脱碳的政策和监管举措,预计后两个部门和电力部门未来的天然气需求将减少。这些发展引发了围绕美国州际管道网络在正在进行的能源转型中的作用的重要问题。这些问题包括天然气运输市场可能需要哪些变化来为燃气发电机提供更灵活的天然气输送服务,从而在电力市场中提供有价值的平衡,以及面对电气化和脱碳,应如何管理天然气运输基础设施的长期搁浅资产风险。本文的目的是通过概述对了解美国天然气运输市场重要的主要市场特征和法规,促进进一步研究以解决这些类型的问题。
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The U.S. Gas Pipeline Transportation Market: An Introductory Guide with Research Questions for the Energy Transition
Natural gas currently represents close to a third of U.S. primary energy consumption and has often been described as a bridge fuel in the context of the ongoing energy transition. As coal plants are retired and the share of variable renewable resources in the U.S. power markets grows, power sector CO2 emissions are declining and gas-fired power plants increasingly relied upon to provide peak and balancing services to complement the variable electricity supply from wind and solar plants. Growth in gas-fired electricity generation in the past decade has made the power sector the largest user of the U.S. interstate gas pipeline network, just ahead of the industrial and building sectors. Nevertheless, future gas demand from these latter two sectors, and from the power sector, is expected to be reduced by policy and regulatory initiatives aimed at electrification of heating loads and economy-wide decarbonization. These developments open up important questions around the role of the U.S. interstate pipeline network in the ongoing energy transition. Such questions include what changes may be needed in the gas transportation markets to provide more flexible gas delivery services to gas-fired generators that provide valuable balancing in the power markets, and how long-term stranded asset risk for gas transportation infrastructure should be managed in the face of electrification and decarbonization. The objective of this paper is to facilitate further research to address these types of questions by outlining the main market features and regulations important for understanding the U.S. gas transportation market.
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