在油气作业中,思维方式和认知偏差对人们如何评估风险和做出现实决策的影响

R. Mcleod
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引用次数: 3

摘要

这篇论文是从心理学的角度出发的,尽管它试图用与石油和天然气作业相关的例子来说明这一论点。虽然之前曾有人尝试将这一领域的知识应用于现实世界事件的分析(例如,见Thorogood等人2014;Crichton and Thorogood 2015)以及开发操作干预措施(McLeod and Beckett 2012),迄今为止,此类尝试受到限制,并且缺乏必要的研究证据。迫切需要更好地了解这些心理过程实际上如何影响现实世界的操作,并制定切实可行的方法来减轻相关风险。
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The Impact of Styles of Thinking and Cognitive Bias on How People Assess Risk and Make Real-World Decisions in Oil and Gas Operations
paper is written from a psychological perspective, though it tries to illustrate the argument with examples relevant to oil and gas operations. While there have been previous attempts to apply this area of knowledge to the analysis of real-world incidents (see, for example, Thorogood et al. 2014; Crichton and Thorogood 2015) and to develop operational interventions (McLeod and Beckett 2012), such attempts have been limited to date, and have lacked the necessary research evidence. There is a compelling need to understand better how these psychological processes actually influence realworld operations, and to develop practical approaches to mitigating the associated risks.
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