南非公共债务服务及其对经济增长的影响:一个实证检验

Q1 Social Sciences Review of Black Political Economy Pub Date : 2020-09-19 DOI:10.1177/0034644620960228
Talknice Saungweme, N. Odhiambo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用自回归分布滞后方法,研究了南非公共债务偿还对经济增长的动态影响,时间跨度为1970年至2017年。最近,在GDP增长长期低迷的情况下,该国的高债务/国内生产总值(GDP)比率已经开始敲响警钟。这篇文章试图为这样一种争论做出贡献,即限制公共债务偿还占国民生产总值(gdp)的比例,可以通过释放国内资源来实现经济增长。该研究的实证结果表明,无论估计是长期还是短期的,南非的公共债务偿还与经济增长之间都没有统计学上显著的关系。讨论了政策影响。
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Public Debt Service in South Africa and Its Impact on Economic Growth: An Empirical Test
By applying the autoregressive distributed lag approach, this article investigates the dynamic impact of public debt service on economic growth in South Africa, covering the period from 1970 to 2017. In the recent past, alarming bells have already started sounding about the country’s high debt/gross domestic product (GDP) ratio amid chronic low GDP growth. The article seeks to contribute to the debate that limiting the proportion of public debt service payments to gross national product can achieve economic growth by freeing domestic resources. The empirical findings of the study show that there is no statistically significant relationship between public debt service and economic growth in South Africa, irrespective of whether the estimations are done in the long run or in the short run. Policy implications are discussed.
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来源期刊
Review of Black Political Economy
Review of Black Political Economy Social Sciences-Cultural Studies
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: The Review of Black Political Economy examines issues related to the economic status of African-American and Third World peoples. It identifies and analyzes policy prescriptions designed to reduce racial economic inequality. The journal is devoted to appraising public and private policies for their ability to advance economic opportunities without regard to their theoretical or ideological origins. A publication of the National Economic Association and the Southern Center for Studies in Public Policy of Clark College.
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