利用曲线拟合处理伊拉克部分城市日、月气温缺失数据

A. Yaseen, A. K. Abdulkareem
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化迅速发展,进入了一个新的阶段,并开始影响世界所有地区。因此,必须对气候进行准确的分析和研究。为了做到这一点,应该提供一个不间断的连续数据库,以提高预测的准确性。因此,本研究拟采用曲线拟合的方法对巴格达、希拉、巴士拉、纳西里耶和萨马瓦等站的缺失温度数据进行处理。在1980-2020年的逐月处理中,使用高斯函数和正弦波函数的真实值与处理值之间的匹配度在夏季最高(100%),在冬季最低(100%)。每日处理期(2010-2020年)夏季匹配率最高(97%),冬季匹配率最低。为了使处理值更接近实际值,建议在4 - 10月份使用该方法。在冬季,应谨慎使用。
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Treatment Missing Data of Daily and Monthly Air Temperature in Some Iraqi cities by Using Curve Fitting
Climate change has become fast and entered a new stage and began to affect all regions of the world. so, the climate must be analyzed and studied accurately. In order to do this, should be available a continuous database without interruptions, to improve the accuracy of forecasts. Therefore, this research aims to treat the missing temperature data for the stations (Baghdad, Hilla, Basra, Nasiriya, and Samawa) by using the curve fitting method. In the monthly treatment for the period (1980-2020), it was observed that the highest match between the real and the treatment values ​​using the Gaussian function and the sine wave function was recorded in the summer months at (100%), and the lowest match was recorded in the winter months. The daily treatment period (2010-2020) recorded the highest match at (97%) in the summer, and the lowest match was recorded in the winter months. In order for the treated values ​​to be close to the real values, it is recommended to use this method for months from April to October. In the winter months, it should be used with caution.
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