2019冠状病毒病对墨西哥的社会经济影响:多部门方法和政策选择

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Latin American Economic Review Pub Date : 2022-01-10 DOI:10.47872/laer.v31.67
Alan Hernández-Soto, Jhair López-López, A. Yúnez-Naude, Yatziry Govea-Vargas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的传播造成的卫生危机在墨西哥造成了深刻的社会和经济混乱。我们在本文中的目的是促进对墨西哥大流行的经济影响的了解,并评估减轻其影响的社会政策选择。我们基于多部门乘数模型和最新的墨西哥社会核算矩阵进行评估,利用该模型我们估计了COVID-19的直接和间接影响,以及缓解这些影响的两种替代方案可能产生的影响:面向贫困家庭的无条件现金转移计划,以及为疫情期间失业的工人建立失业保险计划。我们发现,第一种选择缓解了更多的附加值和收入损失,从而在减少不平等和贫困发生率方面具有更大的效果。
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Socioeconomic Effects of COVID-19 in Mexico: A Multisectoral Approach and Policy Options
The health crisis caused by the spread of COVID-19 has caused a profound social and economic disruption in Mexico. Our purpose in this paper is to contribute to the knowledge about the economic impact of the pandemic in Mexico and to evaluate social policy options to mitigate its effects. We do so based on a multisectoral-multiplier model and the most recent Social Accounting Matrix for Mexico, with which we estimate the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 as well the likely effects of two alternatives for mitigating them: an unconditional cash transfer scheme for households living in poverty, and the establishment of an unemployment insurance program for workers who have lost their jobs during the pandemic. We find that the first alternative alleviates more value added and loss of income, and thus has a greater effect in reducing inequality and the incidence of poverty.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
审稿时长
36 weeks
期刊介绍: Latin American Economic Review aims to be the leading general interest journal on topics relevant to Latin America. The journal welcomes high-quality theoretical and quantitative papers on economic, social and political-economy issues with a regional focus. Articles presenting new data bases or describing structural reforms within a rigorous theoretical framework will also be considered. A few (illustrative) examples of topics that may be of special interest to this journal include: inflation, informal sector, corruption, crime, drug policy, unions, social exclusion, price controls, energy and environmental policy, natural resources, and technology transfer.
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