有效市场假说和套利定价理论在肯尼亚-乌干达边境切普库贝市场的启示:文献综述的批判

San Lio, Joice Onyango, J. Mirichii, C. Mumanthi, Godwin Njeru, Joslyn Karimi, B. Warue
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摘要

从本质上讲,市场是唯一的汇合点,在这里,知识渊博、有意愿的买家与创新的商品和服务创造者之间发生了实际的交换,最终的产品是财富、货币和利润。有效市场假说(EMH)建立在不可能“击败市场”的前提上,因为市场效率导致现有资产价格总是包含并反映所有相关信息。在非有效资本市场中,证券价格反映了所有可获得的信息,在新信息的基础上进行交易不可能获得超额收益。市场大致分为两部分:商品和商品市场以及货币市场。套利定价理论是一种资产定价模型,它解释了资产收益率或价格的横截面变化。本文分析了EMH和APT理论在chepkube的适用性;主要是位于东非肯尼亚-乌干达边境的商品和商品市场。本研究采用桌面研究方法。该研究询问了现有的文献,以引出研究结果所需的必要信息。研究结果表明,只有弱和半强形式的EMH存在于Chepkube,而apt以最简单的形式主导着市场趋势,因为经纪人抓住、创造和控制了相关信息。研究结果为客户、企业家、中小企业、研究人员、金融家、政府监管机构和其他利益集团提供了有关有效市场的见解;也为进一步的实证研究提供了机会。
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Implication of efficient market hypothesis and arbitrage pricing theory in Chepkube market at the Kenya-Uganda border: A critique of literature review
Essentially, a market is the only point of convergence where actual exchanges betweenknowledgeable willing buyers on one hand and innovative creators of goods and services happen,and the end product is wealth, money and profit. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) isfounded on the premise that it is impossible to “beat the market” because market efficiencycauses existing asset prices to always incorporate and reflect all relevant information. In anefficient capital market, the security prices reflect all the available information, and excess returnis not possible by trading on the basis of new information. Markets are broadly broken into twocomponents: markets for goods and commodities as well as the money markets. The ArbitragePricing Theory is an asset pricing model that explains the cross-sectional variation in assetreturns or prices. This study analyses the applicability of both EMH and APT theories inChepkube; largely a goods and commodities market located at the Kenya-Uganda border in EastAfrica. Desk research methodology was used for this study. The study interrogates the existingliterature in eliciting the required information necessary for the research findings. The researchfindings suggest that only the weak and semi strong form of EMH exists at Chepkube while theAPT in its simplest form dominates the market trends as brokers seize, create, and controlpertinent information. The results provide customers, entrepreneurs, SMEs, researchers,financiers, government regulators and other interest groups with insights on efficient markets; aswell as opportunities for further empirical research.
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