大衰退:论国内政策的无效性和多边安排的必要性

Jorge Rojas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大衰退是全球经济实体部门一些根本问题的表现,主要与美国和其他核心经济体竞争力的丧失有关,反映在以并行的经常账户赤字和金融账户盈余形式出现的持续外部失衡上。国内货币和财政(或国内调整)政策未能解决问题,因为我们现在面对的是一个全球性问题,需要寻求多边解决方案来调整一些基本的相对价格,并消除一些关键的结构性失衡,从而使可持续复苏成为可能。此外,寻找和设计解决方案的困难表明,有必要重新评估当前危机之前经济政策的理论范式(例如,供给侧经济学)。
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The Great Recession: on the Ineffectiveness of Domestic Policies and the Need of Multilateral Arrangements
The Great Recession is the manifestation of some fundamental problems in the real sector of the global economy, related basically to the loss of competitiveness of the U.S. and other central economies, reflected in continuous external disequilibria in the form of parallel current account deficits and financial account surpluses. Domestic monetary and fiscal (or domestic adjustment) policies have not reached a solution to the problem because we are now dealing with a global problem that requires multilateral solutions seeking to adjust some fundamental relative prices and the closing of some key structural imbalances in order to make a sustainable recovery possible. Besides, the difficulties in finding and engineering a solution show the need to reassess the theoretical paradigms underlying the economic policies that preceded the current crisis (e.g., supply-side economics).
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