工人汇款对经济增长的影响:一种ARDL方法

IF 2.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Inzinerine Ekonomika-Engineering Economics Pub Date : 2019-10-30 DOI:10.5755/j01.ee.30.4.21830
Muhammad Kamran Khan, Jian-zhou Teng, Muhammad Imran Khan
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引用次数: 10

摘要

工人汇款是任何经济体资金流动的主要来源。本研究旨在通过采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术来审视1976- 2016年期间汇款流入对巴基斯坦经济的影响;因为这种方法是最近才发展起来的,与时间序列方法相比具有不同的优点。应用ARDL方法仔细研究了工人汇款对巴基斯坦经济的长期和短期影响。本研究的结论是,从长期来看,汇款流入、外国直接投资和国内储蓄总额对巴基斯坦经济有积极影响,而从长期来看,通胀和消费对巴基斯坦经济有消极影响。来自移民的汇款支持了巴基斯坦的经济增长,因为流入的汇款主要用于投资目的。为了进一步改善巴基斯坦经济的经济发展,建议巴基斯坦的政策制定者鼓励和激励移民通过适当的渠道向巴基斯坦汇款,以便这些汇款流入用于有助于改善经济增长的有利可图的投资。
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The effect of worker remittances on economic growth: An ARDL approach
Worker remittances are the main source of financial flow to any economy.  This study intended to scrutinize the effect of remittance inflow on Pakistan’s economy over the period 1976- 2016 by employing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique; because this method has been recently developed and has different advantages as compared to time series methods. ARDL method was applied to scrutinize the long run and the short run effect of worker remittances on Pakistan’s economy. This study concluded that Pakistan’s economy is positively affected by remittance inflow, foreign direct investment and the gross domestic saving in the long run, while Pakistan’s economy negatively affected by inflation and consumption in the long run. Remittances received from immigrant support economic growth in Pakistan because remittances inflow is mostly utilized for investment purpose. To further improve the economic development of Pakistan’s economy, it is suggested that policy maker in Pakistan encourage and motivate migrants to send remittances through proper channels to Pakistan, so that these inflows of remittances be used in such profitable investments that help to improve economic growth.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
3.60%
发文量
32
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