新冠肺炎大流行前后(2003-2022)埃塞俄比亚花卉产业竞争绩效的比较研究

Muluken Worku, K. Debela, H. Mudde
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摘要

本研究的目的是通过与荷兰、哥伦比亚、厄瓜多尔、肯尼亚、意大利、中国、马来西亚、以色列和加拿大进行比较,研究埃塞俄比亚花卉产业在2019冠状病毒病大流行前后在世界市场上的竞争表现。这项研究从国际贸易中心(ITC)的数据库中收集了2003年至2022年的二手数据。采用标准化显示比较优势(NRCA)和相对贸易优势(RTA)指标作为衡量竞争绩效的指标,并使用描述性和推理性统计分析工具:均值、标准差、变异系数、Pearson相关检验和配对样本t检验。研究结果表明,在新冠肺炎大流行前后(2003-2022年),埃塞俄比亚与荷兰、哥伦比亚、厄瓜多尔和肯尼亚在花卉产业中具有较强的竞争优势,在世界市场上的竞争表现趋势相对一致;而其他具有波动竞争优势和自我平衡的国家(以色列,马来西亚和中国)以及意大利和加拿大等国家在世界花卉市场上具有竞争劣势。调查结果显示,埃塞俄比亚的花卉竞争优势在新冠肺炎大流行后取得了稳步改善,而其他国家,特别是哥伦比亚,却面临着不稳定和巨大的下降。此外,配对样本t检验结果显示,埃塞俄比亚的竞争优势与排名靠前的国家之间存在统计学上的显著差异,p值为小于0.05。研究结果还表明,相对进口优势(RMA = 0.48)和相对贸易优势(RTA = 128.80)指数的平均值表明,埃塞俄比亚是花卉净出口国。因此,本研究的发现为管理者提供了强有力的证据,证明他们的花卉产业的竞争绩效是如何随着时间和各自国家的排名而变化的。埃塞俄比亚的花卉竞争表现,与荷兰、哥伦比亚、厄瓜多尔、肯尼亚、意大利、中国、马来西亚、以色列相比
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Competitive Performance of the Ethiopian Flower Industry from a Pre-to Post COVID-19 Pandemic Era (2003-2022): A Comparative Study
The purpose of this study was to examine the competitive performance of the Ethiopian flower industry in the world market from the pre-to post COVID-19 pandemic era in comparison with the Netherlands, Colombia, Ecuador, Kenya, Italy, China, Malaysia, Israel, and Canada. The study collected secondary data from the International Trade Centre (ITC) database for the years between 2003 and 2022. The data collected was analyzed by NRCA (Normalized Revealed Comparative Advantage) and RTA (Relative Trade Advantage) indexes as a measure of competitive performance as well as using both descriptive and inferential statistical analysis tools: mean, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, Pearson’s correlation test, and paired sample t -test. The findings show that Ethiopia, as well as the Netherlands, Colombia, Ecuador, and Kenya, have a strong competitive advantage in the flower industry in the pre-to post COVID-19 pandemic era (2003-2022), with relatively consistent competitive performance trend in the world market; while other countries with fluctuating competitive advantage and self-balancing (Israel, Malaysia, and China) and also countries such as Italy and Canada have a competitive disadvantage in flower in the world market. Ethiopia’s flower competitive advantage has achieved a steady improvement in the post COVID-19 pandemic era while other countries are facing inconsistent and huge decline, particularly, Colombia, as the finding revealed. Also, paired sample t-test result shows that statistically significant difference was found between Ethiopia’s competitive advantage and those of the top competin g countries with a p-value ˂ .05. The finding also indicated that with average values of the relative import advantage (RMA = .48) and relative trade advantage (RTA = 128.80) indexes, Ethiopia is a net exporter of flowers. Therefore, the findings of this study give managers robust evidence of how their flower industry’s competitive performance changes over time and the rank of their respective country. The flower competitive performance of Ethiopia, compared to the Netherlands, Colombia, Ecuador, Kenya, Italy, China, Malaysia, Israel
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