印尼国内生产总值(GDP)、出口和收入(GDP)对印尼盾汇率(IDR - USD)的回归及相关性分析

D. Siregar, R. R. Alhempi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

正如蒙代尔-弗莱明理论所解释的那样,汇率与经济增长之间存在负向影响,汇率越高,净出口(出口与进口之间的差额)越低,产出减少的数量就会减少,从而导致GDP(经济增长)下降。本研究采用多元线性回归分析来预测和预测某些变量的值在其他变量变化时的变化。相关性是统计学中的一种分析技术,用于发现两个或多个定量变量之间的关系。然后得到印尼盾货币汇率(Y)、印尼出口总值(X1)、以企业为变量的印尼现行市场价格国内生产总值(X2)之间的多元线性回归方程,即多元线性回归方程为Y=- 505090239 + 000095804 X1+ 000014006 X2,其中货币兑换印尼盾汇率(Y)、印度尼西亚出口值(X1)和基于业务领域的现行价格的国内生产总值(X2)为0.973,具有很强的解释范围为0.75至0.99。引用本文:Siregar DI, Alhempi RR(2018)印度尼西亚国内生产总值(GDP)出口和收入(GDP)对卢比汇率(IDR USD)的回归和相关性分析。[J]世界经济,6(6):391 - 391。doi: 10.4172 / 2375 - 4389.1000320
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Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR - USD)
As explained in the Mundell-Fleming theory, which states that there is a negative influence between exchange rate and economic growth, where the higher the exchange rate, the lower net exports (the difference between exports and imports) will decrease the amount of output decreases and will cause GDP (Economic growth) to decline . This study uses multiple linear regression analysis to predict and predict the change of value of certain variables when other variables change. Correlation is one of the analytical techniques in statistics used to find the relationship between two or more variables that are quantitative. Then obtained multiple linear regression equation between Rupiah Currency Exchange Rate (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Indonesia Gross Domestic Product at Current Market Price Based on Business as variable (X2), that is obtained by multiple linear regression equation is Y=-5050,90239+0,0095804 X1+0,0014006 X2 where Interpretation of correlation between the relationship of Currency Exchange IDR (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Gross Domestic Product at Current Price Based on The field of business (X2) is 0.973 with a very strong interpretation that ranges from 0.75 to 0.99. Citation: Siregar DI, Alhempi RR (2018) Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR USD). J Glob Econ 6: 320. doi: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000320
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