中澳自由贸易协定:对澳美关系的影响

J. Korwa
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在与中国和美国的互动中,澳大利亚目前面临着战略和经济困境。一方面,应保持并加强与美国的战略盟友关系,遏制崛起的中国。另一方面,澳大利亚应该通过加强与中国的贸易关系来确保其经济增长。本文旨在探讨新中澳自由贸易协定(ChAFTA)对澳美战略联盟的影响。本文采用定性分析的方法,运用国际关系中的现实主义和自由主义观点来分析这些问题。通过评估先前涉及澳美三角关系的两个事件(台湾冲突和美国发展国家导弹防御系统的案例),本文得出结论,中澳自贸协定可能会破坏澳美联盟。得出这一结论的原因有三个:澳大利亚对中国的看法发生了根本性转变;中澳自贸协定给澳大利亚带来的好处比《澳美自由贸易协定》更多;最后,澳大利亚可能会认为中澳自贸协定比澳美联盟更符合其在国际体系中的国家利益。
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The China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA): its implications for Australia-United States relations
Australia is currently faced with a strategic and economic dilemma regarding its interactions with China and the United States (US). On the one hand, it should maintain and strengthen its strategic relations with the US as an ally in order to contain a rising China. On the other hand, Australia should ensure its economic growth by strengthening trade relations with China. This paper aims to examine the implications of the new China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA) for the ANZUS strategic alliance. Through Qualitative Approach, this article analyzes the issues with the use of realist and liberal perspectives in international relations. By assessing two previous events involving the triangular Australia-US-China relationship (the case of the Taiwan conflict, and the US development of a National Missile Defense system), this paper concludes that ChAFTA may tend to undermine the ANZUS alliance. Three reasons for this conclusion are identified: a fundamental shift in the way Australia perceives China; ChAFTA offers more benefits to Australia than the Australia-US Free Trade Agreement (AUSFTA); and finally Australia may consider ChAFTA as being more in its national interests in the international system than the ANZUS alliance.
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