开发COVID-19模拟模型的机遇与挑战:来自六个资助项目的经验教训

P. Giabbanelli, J. Badham, B. Castellani, H. Kavak, V. Mago, A. Negahban, S. Swarup
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引用次数: 10

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行向我们展示了建模和预测工作对指导决策者的重要性。然而,在2019冠状病毒病大流行一年后,计算科学文献缺乏对世界各地研究人员建模之旅的适当内部探索,包括他们如何应对我们社区面临的共同挑战,如数据限制、模型拟合和与公共利益相关者合作。本论文详细审查了六个研究小组的内部流程,这些研究小组在几个国家获得资助,以模拟COVID-19。每个团队都被要求反思研究问题,以及他们如何解决各自的建模挑战,以及回顾过去,他们将如何以不同的方式做事。
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Opportunities and Challenges in Developing COVID-19 Simulation Models: Lessons from Six Funded Projects
The COVID-19 pandemic showed us the importance of modeling and forecasting efforts to guide decision makers. However, a year into the COVID-19 pandemic, the computational science literature lacks a proper internal exploration of the modeling journey of researchers around the world, including how they responded to the shared challenges our community faced such as data limitations, model fitting and working with public stakeholders. The current paper is a detailed examination of the internal processes of six research teams, which were funded in several countries to model COVID-19. Each team was asked to reflect on the research question and how they solved their respective modeling challenges, as well as how, looking back, they would do things differently.
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