风云变幻中的欧亚一体化挑战与展望

IF 7.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Review of Economics and Statistics Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI:10.21686/2500-3925-2023-3-46-55
L. Slutsky
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是分析国际经济关系的现代转型对欧亚经济联盟一体化进程的影响。根据指定的目标,本研究的目标是:1。确定当前欧亚一体化面临的挑战和威胁;2. 评估欧亚经济联盟进一步发展的前景,以及该一体化组织在新的地缘政治现实中抵御这些挑战的能力。研究材料和方法。在编写文章的过程中,使用了来自国际、区域间和国家报告的数据、分析性统计材料、俄罗斯和外国科学家的科学著作。在研究过程中,运用了经济现象分析的统计方法,逻辑系统分析的方法,宏观经济指标的动态结构分析的方法,数据评价的区域间分析的方法,以及研究成果可视化的表格方法。本文分析了反映欧亚经济联盟整体及其成员国经济现状和发展的一些宏观经济指标。通过所进行的研究,确定了欧亚一体化的主要挑战,并评估了一体化协会在现代地缘政治条件下抵御这些挑战的前景和能力。欧亚一体化是俄罗斯联邦的战略选择,决定了俄罗斯外交政策最重要的发展方向之一。欧亚经济联盟框架内的一体化进程历来伴随着许多矛盾,这些矛盾取决于多种因素,可能随着全球性挑战和威胁的增加而加剧或减弱。因此,目前还无法全面评估欧亚一体化进一步发展的前景。与此同时,尽管世界经济体系中最大的几个中心经济衰退的可能性很大,但欧亚经济联盟却成为能够在一定程度上抵制世界政治和经济负面趋势的一体化组织之一,欧亚经济联盟成员国不仅成功地防止了大规模的经济衰退,而且还确保了宏观经济的稳定。
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Challenges and Prospects of Eurasian Integration in a Changing World
The purpose of the study is to analyze the impact of the modern transformation of international economic relations on the integration processes in the Eurasian Economic Union. In accordance with the designated goal, the objectives of the study are: 1. to identify current challenges and threats to Eurasian integration; 2. to assess the prospects for further development of the Eurasian Economic Union and the ability of the integration association to withstand these challenges in the new geopolitical realities.Materials and methods of research. In the process of preparing the article, data from international, interregional and national reports, analytical statistical materials, scientific works of Russian and foreign scientists were used. In the course of the work, statistical methods of analysis of economic phenomena were used, methods of logical and system analysis, dynamic, structural analysis of macroeconomic indexes, interregional analysis of data evaluation, as well as tabular methods of visualization of research results were used.Results. The article analyzes some macroeconomic indexes characterizing the current state and development of the economy of the Eurasian Economic Union as a whole and its member- countries. As a result of the conducted research, the main challenges of Eurasian integration were identified and the prospects and ability of the integration association to withstand these challenges in modern geopolitical conditions were assessed.Conclusion. Eurasian integration is a strategic choice for the Russian Federation, which determines one of the most important directions of development of Russia’s foreign policy. The integration process within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union has traditionally been accompanied by a number of contradictions, which, depending on many factors, may either intensify or weaken with the increase in global challenges and threats. That is why, at present, it is not possible to fully assess the prospects for further development of Eurasian integration. At the same time, despite the high probability of recession in the largest centers of the world economic system, the Eurasian Economic Union turned out to be one of the integration associations capable to some extent of resisting negative trends in world politics and the economy, and the member-countries of the Eurasian Economic Union managed not only to prevent a large-scale economic downturn, but also to ensure macroeconomic stability.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
175
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.
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