冰雹事件大气条件分析(以2019年9月23日佩拉拉湾为例)

Mari Frystine
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摘要

2019年9月23日,由于森林和土地火灾现象,整个廖内地区被烟雾覆盖,廖内省佩拉拉湾县穆达岛村发生冰雹。这次冰雹没有伴随极端降雨,也没有造成物质损失。然而,需要对冰雹发生之前、期间和之后的大气条件进行研究,以参考未来事件的早期预警。利用雷达产品、卫星图像和观测参数对结果进行了描述性分析。由RainbowV5.9生成的雷达产品CMAX和VCUT显示,在06:02 UTC有一个单一的CB云,其最大反射率核心在5 km高度为60 dBZ。随着云的消散,核心反射率和核心高度随时间的推移而降低。经SATAID处理的himawai -8 RGB图像和云顶温度时间序列显示,在0600 UTC,云顶温度显著下降,达到-75℃,云中有大冰粒,上升气流强,在1小时内消散为薄卷云和中低云。梯度处理的ECMWF ERA5再分析数据显示,在冰雹发生的h-1到h+1期间,地面气温、相对湿度和CAPE指数具有不同的值。垂直剖面显示,单云有大量的冰粒和较强的上升气流,在发展阶段上升气流最大值为0.0202 m/s。而在云的消散阶段,下降气流的最大值为0.032 m/s。
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Atmosphere Condition Analysis on Hail Event (Case Study : Pelalawan on September 23rd, 2019)
Hail in Pulau Muda Village, Pelalawan Regency, Riau Province, occured on September 23rd 2019 when the entire Riau area was covered by smoke due to forest and land fires phenomenon. The hail was not accompanied by extreme rain and did not cause material harm. However, a study of atmospheric conditions before, during, and after the hail occurred is needed to reference for early warning of future events. The result was analyzed descriptively on the radar products, satellite images and observation parameters. CMAX and VCUT of radar product generated from RainbowV5.9 showed that at 06.02 UTC there was a single CB cloud, which its maximum reflectivity core was 60 dBZ at 5 km height. Both the core reflectivity and its height decreased by the time as the cloud dissipated. Himawari-8 RGB images and cloud top temperature time series processed by SATAID showed a significant decrease of cloud top temperature reached -75oC  at 06.00 UTC where the cloud had large ice particles with strong updraft and dissipated within 1 hour into thin cirrus and medium-low clouds. ECMWF ERA5 Reanalysis data processed by GrADS showed that surface air temperature, RH, and CAPE index has a different value from h-1 to h+1 of hail occurrence. Vertical profile showed the single CB cloud had much amount of ice particles and also strong updrafts that the maximum value of updraft was 0,202 m/s at the development stage. In contrast, the maximum value of downdraft was 0,032 m/s in the dissipation stage of the cloud.
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