贸易便利化改革对南盟国家贸易额的影响

Kubra Siraj, Muhammad Imran Khan, Kamran Abbas Naqvi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究的目的是告知商务和贸易部关于贸易便利化对改善南盟地区贸易的重大影响。本文试图估算贸易便利化指标与贸易量之间的关系,并以南盟国家为例探讨贸易便利化改革与贸易量之间的相关性。设计/方法/方法:本文采用实证方法,基于2006年至2013年南亚区域合作联盟国家的二手数据。本研究采用Pooled OLS、Fixed effect和random effect模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明,贸易便利化与贸易量之间存在显著的相关关系。减少所需文件的总数将使南盟国家能够进行更频繁的贸易。研究还发现,交易总成本的边际下降也会鼓励交易者达到目标交易量。影响/原创性/价值:贸易便利化改革可以成为所有南盟国家在区域一级的有效政策选择。然而,其他政策改革和行动,例如基本的物质基础设施、良好的管理和确保政治稳定,对于可能改善南盟国家的贸易能力也是必须的。
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Impact of Trade Facilitation Reforms on The Trade Volume of SAARC Countries
Purpose: The purpose of the study is to inform the ministry of commerce and trade about the significant implications of trade facilitation for the improvement of trade in the SAARC region. This paper attempts to estimate the relationship between trade facilitation indicators and trade volume and also explored the correlation between trade facilitation reforms and the trade volume in the case of SAARC countries.  Design/Methodology/Approach: This paper is an empirical approach, which is based on secondary data from SAARC countries for the period 2006 to 2013. The study uses Pooled OLS, Fixed effect, and a random effect model for the empirical analysis.   Findings: The results of the study show, that is a significant relationship between trade facilitation and trade volume. Decreasing the total number of documents required will make it possible for SAARC countries to trade with high frequency. The study also found that a marginal decrease in the total cost of trade also encourages traders to reach the targeted trade volume. Implications/Originality/Value: The trade facilitation reforms can be an effective policy option on the regional level across all the SAARC countries. However other policy reforms and actions such as basic physical infrastructure, good governance and insuring political stability are also obligatory for the possible improvement of the trading capabilities of SAARC countries.
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发文量
49
审稿时长
12 weeks
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