环境建设和平研究中的抽样偏差

T. Ide
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引用次数: 0

摘要

抽样偏差给研究带来了巨大的挑战,因为它可能破坏结果的有效性,造成重大的知识空白,导致受便利而非需求驱动的研究,并限制提供政策建议的能力。在本研究中,我基于对同行评议文献的系统审查,评估了快速兴起的环境建设和平研究领域中潜在的抽样偏差。该领域经常涉及难以获得和/或不太可能证实理论的困难案例,因此通过方便和结果有效性减少了对抽样的关注。相比之下,在极易受环境变化影响的国家、太平洋地区和拉丁美洲、亚洲国家内部建设和平的动态以及民间社会薄弱或孤立的国家方面,存在明显的知识差距。来自全球南方和女性学者的声音相对较好,但需要进一步改善。解决这些问题将支持环境建设和平,挑战片面的环境冲突叙述,增加更广泛的建设和平文献,并就可持续和平提供政策建议。
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Sampling bias in environmental peacebuilding research
Sampling bias poses enormous challenges to research as it can undermine the validity of results, cause significant knowledge gaps, result in research that is driven by convenience rather than need and limit the ability to provide policy advice. In this study, I assess potential sampling biases in the rapidly emerging research field of environmental peacebuilding based on a systematic review of the peer-reviewed literature. The field frequently engages with difficult cases which are hard to access and/or unlikely to confirm theories, hence reducing concerns about sampling by convenience and result validity. By contrast, there are clear knowledge gaps regarding countries highly vulnerable to environmental change, regarding the Pacific region and Latin America, regarding intra-state peacebuilding dynamics in Asia, and regarding countries with weak or isolated civil societies. Voices from the Global South and female scholars are relatively well represented, but further improvements are desirable. Addressing these issues would support environmental peacebuilding in challenging one-sided environment-conflict narratives, adding to the wider peacebuilding literature, and providing policy advice on sustainable peace.
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