利用卫星图像进行短期太阳能发电预报

A. Shanmuga Sundaram Devi, G. Maragatham, K. Boopathi, M. Prabu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

太阳辐照度预报将成为未来将太阳能资源纳入现有能源供应结构的一项重大挑战。对于准确估计影响太阳能输出稳定性的云的运动的方法,有一些紧迫的要求。考虑到云的程度,云指数图像是由卫星图像计算的,从而从卫星数据中得出辐射。利用全球水平辐照度(GHI)预测模型预测太阳能。本文研究了利用长短期记忆(LSTM)技术预测每一个半小时的太阳能发电量。并将预测结果与250mw太阳能电站的实测功率进行了比较。实验结果大大提高了15至90分钟内云运动的评估质量,使电网运营商能够采取必要的行动来改善太阳能的不可预测性。
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Short-term solar power forecasting using satellite images
Solar irradiance forecasting will turn into a major challenge in the future integration of solar energy resources into existing structures of energy supply. There are squeezing requirements for approaches to accurately estimate the movement of the cloud that legitimately impacts solar power output stability. As a degree of cloudiness is concerned, cloud index images are calculated from the satellite images to derive radiation from satellite data. Solar power is predicted using a forecasting model from the predicted global horizontal irradiance (GHI). This paper focuses on forecasting the solar power of every one and half an hour using the long short-term memory (LSTM) technique. The forecasting results are compared with the actual measured 250 MW solar plant power. The experimental findings considerably increase the assessment quality of cloud movement within 15 to 90 mins that is satisfactory for grid operators to make necessary action to improve the unpredictability of solar power.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Powertrains
International Journal of Powertrains Engineering-Automotive Engineering
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
25
期刊介绍: IJPT addresses novel scientific/technological results contributing to advancing powertrain technology, from components/subsystems to system integration/controls. Focus is primarily but not exclusively on ground vehicle applications. IJPT''s perspective is largely inspired by the fact that many innovations in powertrain advancement are only possible due to synergies between mechanical design, mechanisms, mechatronics, controls, networking system integration, etc. The science behind these is characterised by physical phenomena across the range of physics (multiphysics) and scale of motion (multiscale) governing the behaviour of components/subsystems.
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