Marijana Jerić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

克罗地亚共和国在历史上经历了几次大规模的移民潮。上一波移民潮始于2013年克罗地亚共和国加入欧盟,并持续至今。发达的欧洲联盟国家,如德国、奥地利和爱尔兰,已成为克罗地亚侨民寻求更好生活的主要目的地。这项研究的目的是确定来自克罗地亚共和国的克罗地亚移民人数的实际状况,将这些数据与克罗地亚共和国的官方统计数字进行比较,并就移民可能造成的后果作出结论。研究结果表明,克罗地亚公民的移民情况无法根据中央统计局的官方数据进行监测,因为这些数据与移民国家的统计数据不一致,即报告的克罗地亚移民人数平均比克罗地亚共和国的官方数据高62%。对未来克罗地亚公民移民的预测显示,未来30年将有20%的人口流失,这就是为什么已经有必要制定新的经济、养老金、教育和其他影响人口变化的政策。
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Suvremeno iseljavanje Hrvata: kakva je budućnost Republike Hrvatske?
The Republic of Croatia has seen several large emigration waves throughout history. The last wave of emigration began with the accession of the Republic of Croatia to the European Union in 2013 and continues today. Developed European Union countries such as Germany, Austria and Ireland have become a major destination for Croatian expatriates in search of a better life. The aim of this research is to determine the actual status of the number of Croat emigrants from the Republic of Croatia, to compare the data with the official statistics of the Republic of Croatia and to conclude on the possible consequences of emigration. The results of the research show that the emigration of Croatian citizens cannot be monitored according to the official data of the Central Bureau of Statistics because they are not harmonized with the statistics of the emigration countries, i.e. the number of reported Croatian immigrants is on average 62% higher than the official data of the Republic of Croatia. Forecasts of future migration of Croatian citizens indicate that 20% of the population will lose over the next 30 years, which is why it is already necessary to develop new economic, pension, education and other policies that affect demographic change.
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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