印尼牛肉和鸡肉的价格行为

Raslea Azalia, K. Sukiyono, Nola Windirah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

稳定食品价格仍然是印尼的一个战略问题。这是因为大多数印尼人的收入主要用于购买食物。各种出版物报告说,印度尼西亚的食品支出约占其收入的一半。因此,保持价格稳定,包括牛肉和鸡肉的价格,是一项重要的政策设计。然而,预测牛肉和鸡肉价格走势的持续困难是分析这两种商品价格走势的重要性的另一个原因。本研究旨在通过分析印尼牛肉和鸡肉商品的价格波动和价格趋势来应对这些问题。使用的数据是2018年1月至2022年12月期间印度尼西亚牛肉和鸡肉的月度价格,或60个观察值。应用价格波动(不稳定性)分析和趋势分析。结果表明,商品鸡肉价格的不稳定性(波动性)高于牛肉价格。牛肉和鸡肉的趋势均呈二次型,牛肉呈上升趋势,鸡肉呈下降趋势。
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Price Behavior of Beef and Chicken Meat in Indonesia
Stabilization of food prices is still a strategic issue in Indonesia. This is because most Indonesians use their income mostly for food. Various publications reported that Indonesian food expenditure is approximately half of their income. Therefore, maintaining price stability, including beef and chicken meat price, is a significant policy to design. However, the continuous difficulty in predicting how beef and chicken meat prices behave is another reason for the importance of analyzing the price behavior of these two commodities. This research aims to respond to these problems by analyzing price fluctuations and price trends in beef and chicken meat commodities in Indonesia. The data used is monthly beef and chicken meat prices in Indonesia from January 2018 until December 2022, or 60 observations. Analysis of price fluctuations (instability) and trend analysis is applied. The results show that commodity chicken meat has a higher instability (fluctuation) than beef price. Both beef and chicken meat trend show a quadratic pattern, with an increasing trend for beef and a decreasing trend for chicken meat.
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