基于危险和脆弱性概念的污水系统淹没风险分析——以阿尔及尔市为例

Sana Gaya, Marzouk Cherrared
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于暴雨下水道网络(SSN)溢出,阿尔及尔市经常在雨天经历严重的洪水。通过建模、仿真和现场研究,确定了网络的脆弱点。这些点是根据对危险和脆弱性的综合评估进行分类的。利用层次分析法(AHP)对危害进行评估,该方法考虑了重现期、溢流高度、坡度、高程和防水等因素。另一方面,脆弱性是由人口密度决定的。风险是由危险和脆弱性相乘决定的。此外,基于FMECA方法的临界指数进行了分类,以补充该方法。用Lin的一致性相关系数(CCC)对两种方法的一致性进行了评价,结果表明两种方法的一致性较强。对模型进行敏感性分析,突出了模型的可靠性和鲁棒性,使所得结果可信,对网络管理者有用。该分析通过向阿尔及尔市最脆弱的地区分配资源和干预措施,有助于进行有效的洪水管理。
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Inundation risk of sewerage system according to the concepts of hazard and vulnerability-case of Algiers city
Algiers city frequently experiences significant flooding during rainy weather due to the overflow of its storm sewer network (SSN). Through modeling, simulation, and field studies, vulnerable points of the network have been identified. These points are classified based on a combined assessment of hazard and vulnerability. Hazard is estimated using the Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) method, which considers the return period, overflowing height, slope, elevation, and waterproofing. On the other hand, vulnerability is determined by population density. Risk is determined by multiplying hazard and vulnerability. Additionally, a classification based on the FMECA method's criticality index has been performed to complement the approach. The concordance between the two methods is evaluated using Lin's concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), showing strong agreement. The sensitivity analysis conducted on the models highlights their reliability and robustness, making the obtained results trustworthy and useful for network managers. This analysis aids in effective flood management by allocating resources and interventions to the most vulnerable areas of Algiers city.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
16.70%
发文量
16
审稿时长
12 weeks
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