Covid-19大流行对印度尼西亚失业的影响

Sabran Sabran, A. Apridar, M. Abrar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情对经济产生了重大影响。结果,许多公司被迫关闭,员工失去了工作。被怀疑介导Covid-19大流行对失业影响的几个经济变量包括投资、经济增长和通货膨胀。本研究旨在确定Covid-19大流行对印度尼西亚失业的直接影响或通过投资、经济增长和通货膨胀的中介影响。本研究采用面板数据回归方法,在2018年第一季度至2021Q4期间对印度尼西亚34个省份进行了研究。路径分析结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情对失业率有直接的正向影响。经济增长变量显著调节了新冠肺炎疫情对失业率的影响。同时,投资和通货膨胀变量的影响不显著。本研究旨在客观反映新冠肺炎疫情对印尼失业的影响,并为应对疫情影响的政策制定提供参考。
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Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Unemployment in Indonesia
The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the economy. As a result, many companies were forced to close, and employees lost their jobs. Several economic variables suspected of mediating the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on unemployment include investment, economic growth, and inflation. This study aims to determine the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on unemployment in Indonesia either directly or through the mediation of investment, economic growth, and inflation. This research was conducted using panel data regression in 34 provinces in Indonesia in the 2018Q1 – 2021Q4 period. Through path analysis, the results showed that the Covid-19 pandemic has a direct positive impact on unemployment. The economic growth variable significantly mediates the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on unemployment. Meanwhile, investment and inflation variables do not have a significant effect. This research is expected to provide an objective picture of the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on unemployment in Indonesia and become a benchmark for policy formulation in dealing with the impact of this pandemic.
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