克拉斯诺亚尔斯克地区的危险水文现象及其预报的提前时间

IF 0.1 Q4 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Russian Journal of Building Construction and Architecture Pub Date : 2022-12-09 DOI:10.29039/2308-0191-2022-10-4-11-15
V. Snezhko, Dmitriy Korotkoruchko, Olga V. Kondrutieva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在俄罗斯,全国各地的气候条件波动很大,水文气象现象造成的损害占自然灾害总损害的80-90%。对于克拉斯诺亚尔斯克边疆区来说,有五种危险的水文现象是有特点的,导致物质损失的发生:交通堵塞、冰堵塞、低低潮、洪水和洪水。研究资料为30年固定物质破坏修复危险水文现象的长期数据。对危险水文现象进行了分析,对时间序列进行了平稳性检验,并对所得趋势的统计显著性作出了结论。对每一种水文现象的预报信息进行分析,对预报提前时间的信息进行系统化。被授权进行环境监测的机构和组织可以利用研究数据来确定有害自然现象的区域清单和标准。
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Dangerous hydrological phenomena of the Krasnoyarsk Territory and the lead time of their forecast
In Russia, there are significant fluctuations in climatic conditions throughout the country, the damage from hydrometeorological phenomena is 80–90% of the total damage of a natural nature. For the territory of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, five types of dangerous hydrological phenomena are characteristic, leading to the occurrence of material damage: traffic jams, ice jams, low low water, floods and floods. The research material was long-term data on fixing dangerous hydrological phenomena with fixed material damage for 30 years. The analysis of dangerous hydrological phenomena was carried out, the stationarity of the time series was checked, and conclusions were drawn about the statistical significance of the obtained trends. Information about the issued forecasts for each hydrological phenomenon is analyzed, information about their lead time is systematized. Research data can be used by institutions and organizations authorized to conduct environmental monitoring in determining regional lists and criteria for hazardous natural phenomena.
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来源期刊
Russian Journal of Building Construction and Architecture
Russian Journal of Building Construction and Architecture CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY-
自引率
50.00%
发文量
28
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