中国区域能源安全评价及影响因素研究

IF 3.1 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI:10.1080/15567249.2021.1993383
M. Song, Weiliang Tao
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引用次数: 10

摘要

能源需求大幅增长,能源供应压力加大,对能源安全构成巨大威胁。基于空间滞后模型,对中国区域能源安全水平进行了评价,探讨了能源安全的影响因素。结果表明,中国整体和区域能源安全总体不高。技术进步、生态环境和能源生产对区域能源安全具有促进作用,而能源消费强度和人口规模对区域能源安全具有负向影响。能源消费强度对能源安全的边际效应随着技术水平的提高而降低。因此,鼓励发展高新技术产业,控制人口规模,稳定国际能源供应,加强对外合作,对改善能源安全具有重要意义。
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Research on the evaluation of China’s regional energy security and influencing factors
ABSTRACT Significant increases in energy demand and a higher pressure on energy supply pose a great threat to energy security. This study evaluated the level of regional energy security in China and explored the influencing factors of energy security based on the spatial lag model. The results show that China’s overall and regional energy security is generally not high. Technological progress, ecological environment, and energy production can improve energy security, while energy consumption intensity, and population size negatively affect regional energy security. Moreover, the results indicate that the marginal effect of energy consumption intensity on energy security decreases as the technological level increases. Therefore, encouraging the development of high-tech industries, controlling the size of the population, stabilizing international energy supply, and strengthening foreign cooperation are of great significance to the improvement of energy security.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
12.80%
发文量
42
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
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