使用分组数据的收入分配的经典和贝叶斯推断

Tobias Eckernkemper, Bastian Gribisch
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引用次数: 10

摘要

我们提出了一个基于分组数据信息的收入分布的最大似然(ML)和贝叶斯估计的一般框架。利用蒙特卡罗-马尔可夫链(Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain, MCMC)技术,得到了ML估计量的渐近性质和贝叶斯参数估计。综合模拟实验表明,所得的收入分布估计非常精确,所提出的估计框架相对于经典的多项似然估计提高了参数估计的统计精度。最后将这种估计方法应用于世界银行数据库PovcalNet中的一组国家。
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Classical and Bayesian Inference for Income Distributions using Grouped Data
We propose a general framework for Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Bayesian estimation of income distributions based on grouped data information. The asymptotic properties of the ML estimators are derived and Bayesian parameter estimates are obtained by Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain (MCMC) techniques. A comprehensive simulation experiment shows that obtained estimates of the income distribution are very precise and that the proposed estimation framework improves the statistical precision of parameter estimates relative to the classical multinomial likelihood. The estimation approach is finally applied to a set of countries included in the World Bank database PovcalNet.
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